2/6/24

“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so. “

– Mark Twain

“Programs must be written for people to read and only incidentally for machines to execute.”

Hal Abelson

“When developing a module, look for opportunities to take a little bit of extra suffering upon yourself in order to reduce the suffering of your users.”

-John Ousterhout

navigating between scylla and charybdis, flat design, neo-pop, line drawing, high definition, white background, 8K --ar 16:9 --v 6

I surveyed a handful of entrepreneurs, venture investors, and developers on their PoV of how they saw the future of open and closed source models shaking out to. I asked people to speculate about the following:

In the year 2030, what do you estimate:

• Quality

• Open/Closed Spread

• Model Usage Distribution

• Fine Tuning

• Fine Tuning Closed Models

• Fine Tuning Open Models

• Open Source Inference Location

• If inference was 100x cheaper…